Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 520.516135 555.337782 591.679099 632.508561 677.189661 724.695721 779.151239
2026-02-08 463.105449 511.913096 565.335378 628.438456 701.311997 783.274166 883.064026
2026-02-15 431.246859 488.582839 553.473876 632.929191 728.382167 840.372992 983.216419
2026-02-22 407.130671 470.350698 543.837916 636.483041 751.470385 891.262400 1076.841209
2026-03-01 386.457327 453.804911 533.867915 637.344322 769.446686 935.139624 1163.117041
2026-03-08 367.230784 437.267741 522.147757 634.243141 780.938258 970.127006 1239.012469
2026-03-15 354.953302 428.238389 518.694699 640.653471 804.139734 1020.831939 1338.945146
2026-03-22 342.989431 418.695647 513.689291 644.194510 823.037604 1066.184696 1434.204324
2026-03-29 334.511881 412.984971 513.025659 653.003358 849.035858 1122.383618 1549.085445
2026-04-05 324.850237 405.115829 508.906134 656.550406 867.451518 1168.475617 1652.149053
2026-04-12 317.712957 400.132445 508.203822 664.470844 892.140011 1224.838525 1775.433681
2026-04-19 309.597889 393.388092 504.652179 667.952248 910.230924 1272.117049 1887.934985
2026-04-26 298.103050 382.693104 496.678495 666.918818 924.977092 1320.652619 2017.104804
2026-05-03 285.973268 370.729852 486.552108 662.471931 934.773396 1363.192750 2143.222122
2026-05-10 277.813609 363.797253 483.011771 667.289002 958.874624 1430.415930 2321.012448
2026-05-17 270.045713 356.963753 479.121284 671.103046 981.325470 1496.499310 2505.186412
2026-05-24 262.071336 349.408194 473.691668 672.027470 998.853084 1555.361396 2683.280272
2026-05-31 253.530708 340.618407 465.935555 668.699067 1008.819663 1601.449249 2841.948814
2026-06-07 248.285738 336.385897 464.724909 675.579509 1036.383665 1681.635138 3083.311143
2026-06-14 242.601411 331.226796 461.796923 679.380944 1058.694985 1753.961949 3319.145346
2026-06-21 238.650147 328.462821 462.356106 688.839742 1091.564555 1849.570392 3623.992832
2026-06-28 233.595574 323.799174 459.692728 692.649378 1114.336211 1927.428156 3901.012479
2026-07-05 229.891606 321.029183 459.840164 701.157959 1146.306126 2027.122360 4251.203560